https://www.atlantafed.org en-us https://www.atlantafed.org https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/09 Thu, 09 Apr 2026 11:04:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 1.3 percent on April 9, unchanged from April 7 after rounding. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, increases in the nowcasts of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth and first-quarter real government expenditures growth from 5.5 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively, to 6.3 percent and 1.5 percent were offset by a decrease in the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.3 percent to 1.1 percent. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, April 21 . Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/09?item=78c7486a29484cd3be6d0d7f2ec29c1e https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/07 Tue, 07 Apr 2026 09:11:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 1.6 percent on April2, down from 1.9 percent on April 1. After this morning’s international trade report from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 4.9 percent to 6.6 percent was more than offset by decreases in the nowcasts of first-quarter personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.5 percent to 1.4 percent and the contribution of net exports to first-quarter real GDP growth from -0.23 percentage points to -0.76 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, April 7. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/07?item=26c278753cb3471c98d11c0475f2b901 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/02 Thu, 02 Apr 2026 11:33:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 1.6 percent on April2, down from 1.9 percent on April 1. After this morning’s international trade report from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 4.9 percent to 6.6 percent was more than offset by decreases in the nowcasts of first-quarter personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.5 percent to 1.4 percent and the contribution of net exports to first-quarter real GDP growth from -0.23 percentage points to -0.76 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, April 7. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/02?item=59a0ff3ac5ea47cf9b29aa1e86fc4710 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/01 Wed, 01 Apr 2026 11:17:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.0 percent on March 23, down from 2.3 percent on March 19. After this morning’s construction spending report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of first-quarter real private fixed investment growth decreased from 3.1 percent to 1.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, April 1. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/04/01?item=6de55c99e1dc4fe6b6759216014a4d7d https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/23 Mon, 23 Mar 2026 10:36:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.0 percent on March 23, down from 2.3 percent on March 19. After this morning’s construction spending report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of first-quarter real private fixed investment growth decreased from 3.1 percent to 1.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, April 1. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/23?item=db10138b219344a78e2f47083ea5cd22 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/19 Thu, 19 Mar 2026 10:49:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.3 percent on March 19, down from 2.7 percent on March 13. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, a decrease in the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 8.6 percent to 6.2 percent was partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.8 percent to 1.9 percent. The next GDPNow update is Monday, March 23. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/19?item=164e497c7dc248ff943a7c93e85bb301 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/13 Fri, 13 Mar 2026 09:38:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.7 percent on March 13, unchanged from March 12 after rounding. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcasts of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth and real government expenditures growth decreased from 8.9 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively, to 8.6 percent and 1.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, March 19. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/13?item=1a9e130b987c4aa8aabf6d8e2d856f13 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/06 Fri, 06 Mar 2026 11:05:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on March 2, unchanged from February 27 after rounding. After this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures on goods growth and real private fixed investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 3.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, March 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/06?item=2f85d4b667604f14bd012c115cbc4291 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/12 Fri, 06 Mar 2026 11:05:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on March 2, unchanged from February 27 after rounding. After this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures on goods growth and real private fixed investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 3.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, March 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/12?item=57fc4d8d643d401a8bf5a6cdb4e84970 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/02 Mon, 02 Mar 2026 11:05:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on March 2, unchanged from February 27 after rounding. After this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures on goods growth and real private fixed investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 3.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, March 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/02?item=85d3dc2906c0446aaa3a8b7b034349d6 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/27 Fri, 27 Feb 2026 11:01:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on February 27, down from 3.1 percent on February 24. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the nowcasts of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth and real government expenditures growth decreased from 8.5 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively, to 7.9 percent and 1.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Monday, March 2. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/27?item=612dabfcf82643c3985273e4805b057b https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/24 Tue, 24 Feb 2026 12:11:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.1 percent on February 24, unchanged from February 20 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, a decrease in the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 2.9 percent to 2.8 percent was partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 8.2 percent to 8.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, February 27. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/24?item=84b96bcc653c493a8ba2b2bcf4e4ea32 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/20 Fri, 20 Feb 2026 09:38:00 EST The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.1 percent on February 20. The first estimate of fourth-quarter 2025 real GDP growth released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was 1.4 percent, 1.6 percentage points below the final GDPNow nowcast. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, February 24. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/20?item=c5648bf55e4f4db384cca02b2887886c https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/19 Thu, 19 Feb 2026 14:16:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.0 percent on February 19, down from 3.6 percent on February 18. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, an increase in the nowcast of fourth-quarter personal consumption expenditures growth from 2.4 percent to 2.5 percent was more than offset by decreases in the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 6.2 percent to 6.1 percent and the contribution of net exports to fourth-quarter real GDP growth from 0.62 percentage points to 0.02 percentage points. This is the last GDPNow forecast for the fourth quarter. The first GDPNow forecast for the first quarter will be on Friday, February 20. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/19?item=201dc1d6c292438c9a6b04858cfb2dcb https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/18 Wed, 18 Feb 2026 11:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.6 percent on February 18, down from 3.7 percent on February 10. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 6.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, February 19. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/18?item=464d1a28511345e28049b35d3a7c06e7