https://www.atlantafed.org en-us https://www.atlantafed.org https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:15:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.0 percent on August 18, down from 4.3 percent on August 14. After this morning’s data releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth declined from 15.2 percent to 13.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, August 26. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=80c2cb8a71444a9791cb3624bb517475 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 06 Aug 2026 10:44:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.8 percent on August 6, down from 5.9 percent on August 4. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 4.2 percent to 4.1 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, August 14. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=f687b047d4df4b75b38ea30d59b14fc1 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 04 Aug 2026 10:57:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.9 percent on August 4, down from 6.2 percent on August 3. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 4.6 percent to 4.2 percent. The other GDP subcomponent forecasts were little changed. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, August 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=e5c90a756cc843e2a6c2f257cb4e65f5 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Mon, 03 Aug 2026 11:09:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 6.2 percenton August 3, up from 5.0 percent on July 30. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.3 percent and 15.9 percent, respectively, to 4.6 percent and 17.9 percent. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, August 4. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=8143f5f1bae84d879c0a287679fc5c7a https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:42:00 EST The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.0 percent on July 30. The first estimate of second-quarter real GDP growth released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was 1.5 percent, same as the final GDPNow nowcast after rounding. The next GDPNow update is Monday, August 3. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=1920545f2ea24c6ea4e5fd14af4c987d https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 28 Jul 2026 09:35:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.5 percent on July 28, down from 1.6 percent on July 27. After this morning’s Advance Economic Indicators report from the US Census Bureau, a decline in the nowcast of second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 5.5 percent to 4.3 percent was partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to second-quarter real GDP growth from -1.35 percentage points to -1.20 percentage points. This is the last GDPNow forecast for the second quarter. The first GDPNow forecast for the third quarter will be on Thursday, July 30. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=0ac488cfd4fe42ccab9d03c1513c3419 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Mon, 27 Jul 2026 09:31:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.6 percent on July 27, down from 1.7 percent on July 17. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 6.0 percent to 5.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, July 28. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=c124ba45408643f7a6ee8062f8caecaa https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Fri, 17 Jul 2026 10:32:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.7 percent on July 17, unchanged from July 16. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, an increase in the nowcast of second-quarter real residential investment growth from 1.5 percent to 1.9 percent was offset by a decrease in the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to second-quarter real GDP growth from -1.31 percentage points to -1.35 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Monday , July 27. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=942967aa41344e3e9cdb8ccab5e0de66 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 16 Jul 2026 11:22:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.7 percent on July 16, up from 1.3 percent on July 8. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the National Association of Realtors, and the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the nowcasts of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.0 percent and 5.5 percent, respectively, to 2.5 percent and 6.0 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, July 17. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=5001d65fd3c04f56a1ed6bb07ae63670 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 08 Jul 2026 10:42:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.3 percent on July 8, down from 1.3 percent on July 7. After this morning’s wholesale trade report from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of the contribution of inventory investment to second-quarter real GDP growth decreased from -0.13 percentage points to -0.22 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, July 16. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=f7039119996e4c25bcfa670088e7f4b0 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 07 Jul 2026 11:21:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.4 percent on July 7, up from 1.2 percent on July 1. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Institute for Supply Management, a decrease in the nowcast of second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 6.5 percent to 6.0 percent was more than offset by an increase in the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to second-quarter real GDP growth from -1.62 percentage points to -1.30 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, July 8. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=ca31492728544e82a2f892457e0ba789 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 01 Jul 2026 12:11:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 1.2 percent on July 1, down from 2.5 percent on June 25. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 8.5 percent to 6.5 percent, while the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to second-quarter real GDP growth decreased from -0.59 percentage points to -1.62 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, July 7. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=8fb52a7ca92e49a782ff02a3aedba7e9 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 25 Jun 2026 09:51:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 2.5 percent on June 25, down from 3.0 percent on June 17. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcast of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 2.7 percent to 2.0 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, July 1. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=7fd344cf8cff4422ba1f11c53270c953 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 17 Jun 2026 10:55:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on June 17, up from 2.8 percent on June 16. After this morning’s retail sales report from the US Census Bureau, an increase in the nowcast of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 2.4 percent to 2.7 percent was partly offset by a decrease in the nowcast of second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 8.6 percent to 8.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, June 25. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=76ca339f11374cb89899a320d29c6da2 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 16 Jun 2026 11:22:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2026 is 2.8 percent on June 16, down from 3.3 percent on June 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the nowcasts of second-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and second-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 2.5 percent and 10.2 percent, respectively, to 2.4 percent and 8.6 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, June 17. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=623cfe81b98f4e3db504e3f77eec8c68