https://www.atlantafed.org en-us https://www.atlantafed.org https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 06 Oct 2026 10:42:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on October 6, unchanged from October 1 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Institute for Supply Management, increases in the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 3.3 percent and 21.4 percent, respectively, to 3.4 percent and 21.5 percent were offset by a decrease nowcast of the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth from -2.59 percentage points to -2.69 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, October 8. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=fdae02409c954c588e30a6f3f810a0bc https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 01 Oct 2026 10:58:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on October 1, unchanged from September 30 after rounding. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 20.7 percent to 21.4 percent was offset by a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 3.5 percent to 3.3. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, October 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=b496b1ea7b654fa9ba8c2d053ab97746 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 30 Sep 2026 10:14:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 3.7 percent on September 30, down from 5.0 percent on September 25. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 18.7 percent to 20.7 percent was more than offset by a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 4.2 percent to 3.5 percent and a decrease in the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth from -1.37 percentage points to -2.60 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, October 1. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=bbc33028f37e433ba5439155f195385a https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Fri, 25 Sep 2026 09:43:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.0 percent on September 25, down from 5.1 percent on September 17. After releases from the US Census Bureau and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 4.1 percent to 4.2 percent was more than offset by a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 19.2 percent to 18.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, September 30. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=3f15178a86984819b1753877e3124398 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 17 Sep 2026 09:27:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.1 percent on September 17, unchanged from September 16 after rounding. After this morning’s housing starts release from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth decreased from -4.3 percent to -4.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, September 25. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=f7cfd7b00a9b42a0a7057032288af2f5 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 16 Sep 2026 11:58:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.1 percent on September 16, up from 4.4 percent on September 10. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.6 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 4.1 percent and 2.3 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, September 17. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=1f3cced3941141838be8ec2c672f3314 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 10 Sep 2026 11:07:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.4 percent on September 10, down from 4.7 percent on September 3. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the National Association of Realtors, decreases in the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 3.8 percent and 20.8 percent, respectively, to 3.6 percent and 19.1 percent were partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real government expenditures growth from 0.9 percent to 1.3 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, September 16. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=0035f6b594124372bd6f7d90f3c76da9 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 01 Sep 2026 11:24:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.7 percent on September 3, down from 4.8 percent on September 1. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the Institute for Supply Management, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 3.5 percent to 3.8 percent was more than offset by decreases in the nowcasts of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 21.8 percent to 20.8 percent and the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth from -1.34 percentage points to -1.46 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, September 10. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=0df47c33fa3942c2a9413c37a988cbe7 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 01 Sep 2026 11:24:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.8 percent on September 1, up from 4.6 percent on August 26. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.1 percent and 14.5 percent, respectively, to 3.5 percent and 21.8 percent, while the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to third-quarter real GDP growth decreased from -0.14 percentage points to -1.32 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, September 3. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=68ee98a1833149288d33ed3339d7e6cb https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Wed, 26 Aug 2026 10:08:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.6 percent on August 26, up from 4.0 percent on August 18. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 2.5 percent and 13.7 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent and 14.5 percent. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=83f80a99ae564c80961d1522ff8b2878 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 18 Aug 2026 10:15:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 4.0 percent on August 18, down from 4.3 percent on August 14. After this morning’s data releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth declined from 15.2 percent to 13.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, August 26. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=80c2cb8a71444a9791cb3624bb517475 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 06 Aug 2026 10:44:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.8 percent on August 6, down from 5.9 percent on August 4. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 4.2 percent to 4.1 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, August 14. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=f687b047d4df4b75b38ea30d59b14fc1 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Tue, 04 Aug 2026 10:57:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.9 percent on August 4, down from 6.2 percent on August 3. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcast of annualized third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 4.6 percent to 4.2 percent. The other GDP subcomponent forecasts were little changed. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, August 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=e5c90a756cc843e2a6c2f257cb4e65f5 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Mon, 03 Aug 2026 11:09:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 6.2 percenton August 3, up from 5.0 percent on July 30. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 3.3 percent and 15.9 percent, respectively, to 4.6 percent and 17.9 percent. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, August 4. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=8143f5f1bae84d879c0a287679fc5c7a https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:42:00 EST The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.0 percent on July 30. The first estimate of second-quarter real GDP growth released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was 1.5 percent, same as the final GDPNow nowcast after rounding. The next GDPNow update is Monday, August 3. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow?item=1920545f2ea24c6ea4e5fd14af4c987d