There will be more interesting commentary to follow, but first a quick look
at the BLS' report on
October consumer prices, from the Federal
Reserve Bank of Cleveland:
Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.2% (2.4% annualized rate) in October. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.2% (3.0% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis.
As for the Cleveland measure of core inflation:
... the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (1.9% annualized rate) in October.
Here's the scoop, in a handy table:
Percent Change From Previous Month | ||||||
May | June | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | |
CPI | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 |
CPI less food & energy | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
MEDIAN CPI | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
Percent Change, Last 12 Months | ||||||
May | June | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | |
CPI | 2.8 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 4.3 |
CPI less food & energy | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
MEDIAN CPI* | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
The distribution of individual price changes looks much like it did last month: A lot of prices changing at a relatively rapid clip, but even more growing at annual rates below 2% (which includes a bunch that are actually falling):
That picture helps to illustrate why we are often so intently focused on information that goes beyond the headline number. But more on that shortly.
UPDATE:
Barry Ritholtz, on the other hand, reads Tuesday's PPI report and concludes that "Inflation remains robust."