This really is not much of a surprise, but I think this pattern of intraday probabilities estimated from fed-funds futures options is interesting:
There are plenty more more pictures in this spirit at Econbrowser.
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Policy Hub: Macroblog provides concise commentary and analysis on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, inflation, labor economics, and financial issues for a broad audience.
Authors for Policy Hub: Macroblog are Dave Altig, John Robertson, and other Atlanta Fed economists and researchers.
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Data Independence