As a part of the Rework America Alliance, McKinsey Global Institute created a methodology to identify good jobs. McKinsey considered factors such as risk of automation or offshoring, a livable wage, and demand. The following section offers a high-level overview of the methodology to identify Origin, Gateway, and Target occupations included in the Rework Community Insights Monitor.
Origin jobs
- Starting occupation in which a worker can advance to higher-paying positions with greater economic mobility
- Income is less than $42,000, split between low (less than $37,000) and lower middle ($37,000 to $42,000)
- Occupation has high unemployment among workers without a four-year degree
- Must have at least one gateway or target job, that is, there must be a career pathway
Gateway jobs
- Gateway jobs offer higher pay than origin occupations and are historically accessible to those without a four-year degree. Based on transition data, they provide good economic mobility to Target occupations from these jobs
- Income is at least as much as in Origin occupations ($37,000 to 42,000) but may also offer economic uplift
- 25 percent of workers employed in each occupation historically do not hold a bachelor's degree and are not in O*NET job zone 5
- More than 33 percent inflow of transitions by people without a bachelor's degree are from Origin jobs and more than 33 percent outflow of transitions from Gateway jobs to Target jobs are from people without a bachelor's degree
Target jobs
- Occupations offering middle- to high-income levels (more than $42,000) that are in demand, resilient to automation, and are accessible in the job market on experience, not just credentials. Based on historical transition data (from résumés) where individuals moved from a gateway occupation
- Income is more than $42,000
- Low risk of long-term automation or offshoring (McKinsey Global Institute "jobs at risk" score)
- At least 10 percent of workers employed in the occupation do not have a bachelor's degree and are not in O*NET job zone 5
Data Sources
- Transition data are based on 29 million job profiles, of which 4 million do not have a bachelor's degree up until 2019
- Wages based on a combination of Emsi jobs posting and talent profiles screened for those without four-year degrees up to 2019. The 2019 Community Population Survey is used to assess unemployment within occupation and level of credential
Publicly available data sets included in the Rework Community Insights Monitor
Opportunity Occupations Monitor: Opportunity occupations are jobs that do not require a bachelor's degree and pay at least the national median wage, adjusted for local cost of living differences. The data are pulled from previous Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta analysis in the Opportunity Occupations Monitor, and opportunity occupations are overlapped with Origin, Gateway, and Target jobs, offering a higher chance that a worker with less than a bachelor's degree can earn a livable wage.
Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System* (IPEDS):
IPEDS is a set of surveys conducted annually by the National Center for Education Statistics to gather data from all institutions that receive federal student aid. These institutions include colleges and universities as well as technical and vocational schools. This tool uses the 2019–20 Institutional Characteristics survey.
National Eligible Training Provider List* (ETPL):
As established by the Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act, the federal government distributes funds to eligible training providers identified by state and local workforce boards. The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) maintains public data on all eligible providers and individual programs. The sites shown on the tool are compiled by the Atlanta Fed Center for Workforce and Economic Opportunity into a database from DOL information.
North America's Building Trades Union* (NABTU):
NABTU represents 14 different building and construction trade unions and over 300 trade councils in the United States and Canada. Through these councils, which train new workers to enter the construction industry, NABTU administers over 1,600 registered apprenticeship training programs. NABTU also provides over 170 apprenticeship readiness programs in the United States that offer preparation for registered apprenticeships to workers traditionally underrepresented in the construction industry. NABTU provided the Atlanta Fed Center for Workforce and Economic Opportunity with the names and locations of their affiliates and program sites.
Classification of Instructional Programs to Standard Occupational Classification (CIP-SOC):
Associated occupation detail is analyzed from national CIP-SOC crosswalks provided by the National Center for Education Statistics and does not reflect job transitions from either résumé or employer-informed career pathway insights.
*The education data included in the dashboard make no assessment as to program quality. Data included are from the public IPEDS data set, scraped from national ETPL data and as offered by NABTU.