https://www.atlantafed.org en-us https://www.atlantafed.org https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/02 Mon, 02 Mar 2026 11:05:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on March 2, unchanged from February 27 after rounding. After this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures on goods growth and real private fixed investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 3.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, March 6. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/03/02?item=85d3dc2906c0446aaa3a8b7b034349d6 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/27 Fri, 27 Feb 2026 11:01:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.0 percent on February 27, down from 3.1 percent on February 24. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the nowcasts of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth and real government expenditures growth decreased from 8.5 percent and 1.6 percent, respectively, to 7.9 percent and 1.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Monday, March 2. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/27?item=612dabfcf82643c3985273e4805b057b https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/24 Tue, 24 Feb 2026 12:11:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.1 percent on February 24, unchanged from February 20 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, a decrease in the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 2.9 percent to 2.8 percent was partly offset by an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 8.2 percent to 8.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Friday, February 27. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/24?item=84b96bcc653c493a8ba2b2bcf4e4ea32 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/20 Fri, 20 Feb 2026 09:38:00 EST The initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 3.1 percent on February 20. The first estimate of fourth-quarter 2025 real GDP growth released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was 1.4 percent, 1.6 percentage points below the final GDPNow nowcast. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, February 24. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/20?item=c5648bf55e4f4db384cca02b2887886c https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/19 Thu, 19 Feb 2026 14:16:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.0 percent on February 19, down from 3.6 percent on February 18. After this morning’s releases from the US Census Bureau and the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, an increase in the nowcast of fourth-quarter personal consumption expenditures growth from 2.4 percent to 2.5 percent was more than offset by decreases in the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 6.2 percent to 6.1 percent and the contribution of net exports to fourth-quarter real GDP growth from 0.62 percentage points to 0.02 percentage points. This is the last GDPNow forecast for the fourth quarter. The first GDPNow forecast for the first quarter will be on Friday, February 20. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/19?item=201dc1d6c292438c9a6b04858cfb2dcb https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/18 Wed, 18 Feb 2026 11:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.6 percent on February 18, down from 3.7 percent on February 10. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 6.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, February 19. Please see the "Release Dates" tab for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/18?item=464d1a28511345e28049b35d3a7c06e7 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/17 Tue, 17 Feb 2026 11:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.6 percent on February 18, down from 3.7 percent on February 10. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively, to 1.4 percent and 6.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, February 19. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/17?item=2da0823abece4c2ab21f2822de2b64b6 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/10 Tue, 10 Feb 2026 11:38:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.7 percent on February 10, down from 4.2 percent on February 2. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 3.1 percent and 7.1 percent, respectively, to 2.4 percent and 6.7 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, February 18. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/10?item=635099324771414ba43a8a640a778522 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/02 Tue, 10 Feb 2026 11:37:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 4.2 percent on February 2, unchanged from January 29 after rounding. After recent releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of fourth-quarter real nonresidential equipment investment growth decreased from 3.7 percent to 3.6 percent. The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, February 10. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/02/02?item=b77f8588354f424fb1cdd1f8f8316c3c https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/22 Thu, 22 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent on January 22, unchanged from January 21 after rounding. After this morning’s releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the nowcast of fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 6.4 percent to 6.2 percent. The next GDPNow update is Monday, January 26. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/22?item=c502fe9ba70a4dfe9bae1c9442a3aa37 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/21 Wed, 21 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent on January 21, up from 5.3 percent on January 14. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, increases in the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 3.1 percent and 5.1 percent, respectively, to 3.2 percent and 6.4 percent, were partially offset by a decrease in the nowcast in the contribution of net exports to fourth-quarter GDP growth from 1.99 percentage points to 1.88 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, January 22. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/21?item=6394019c1db1431091afc0960714608a https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/14 Wed, 14 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent on January 14, up from 5.1 percent on January 9. After recent releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Treasury's Bureau of the Fiscal Service, and the National Association of Realtors, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth, fourth-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth, and fourth-quarter real government expenditures growth increased from 3.0 percent, 4.8 percent, and 1.3 percent, respectively, to 3.1 percent, 5.1 percent, and 1.6 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, January 21. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/14?item=0cea9325fe78492ab42c1799bfa84e01 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/09 Fri, 09 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.1 percent on January 9, down from 5.4 percent on January 8. After this morning’s releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of fourth-quarter real residential investment growth decreased from 1.5 percent to -5.8 percent. The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, January 14. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/09?item=d88c374627fe4e17828ffbf474fe8224 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/08 Thu, 08 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent on January 8, up from 2.7 percent on January 5. After recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US Census Bureau, and the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth increased from 2.4 percent to 3.0 percent, while the nowcast of the contribution of net exports to fourth-quarter real GDP growth increased from -0.30 percentage points to 1.97 percentage points. The next GDPNow update is Friday, January 9. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/08?item=327328102b81458793f4e1cc67a5f3d7 https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/05 Mon, 05 Jan 2026 00:00:00 EST The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 2.7 percent on January 5, down from 3.0 percent on December 23. After this morning’s Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth and real gross private domestic investment growth decreased from 2.7 percent and 7.0 percent, respectively, to 2.4 percent and 6.5 percent. The next GDPNow update is Thursday, January 8. Please see the "Release Dates" tab below for a list of upcoming releases. https://www.atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow/updates/2026/01/05?item=1d80b73a9cbc44bbbcff259896deea3f