https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/banking-and-finance/2025/06/05/reporting-dividends-and-return-of-capital-what-bankers-need-to-know?item=e6d75605-4c4c-4ddc-8281-719f77c3512f e6d75605-4c4c-4ddc-8281-719f77c3512f Monday, 9 Jun 2025 13:49:0 EST Even for seasoned banking professionals, reporting dividends and returning capital can be a challenging matter to approach properly. This Economy Matters article clarifies some common misconceptions. https://www.atlantafed.org/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=5f9121fb-027f-49ac-92ca-15c2045c26af 5f9121fb-027f-49ac-92ca-15c2045c26af Monday, 9 Jun 2025 12:30:0 EST On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released May's employment report. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=8f882559-01e2-4246-8eaf-4fcba6685c29 8f882559-01e2-4246-8eaf-4fcba6685c29 Monday, 9 Jun 2025 11:29:0 EST On June 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 3.8 percent, unchanged from June 5 after rounding. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=14e68e75-5af8-4450-a545-76bc4963566f 14e68e75-5af8-4450-a545-76bc4963566f Friday, 6 Jun 2025 9:0:0 EST What do May employment data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=30ec9b87-43af-48e5-8b79-564dccb59a9f 30ec9b87-43af-48e5-8b79-564dccb59a9f Friday, 6 Jun 2025 8:45:0 EST Explore May and earlier data with the Labor Report First Look, updated June 6. First Look offers a snapshot of recent and historical employment data, updated with each release of the Employment Situation Summary, which next occurs on July 3. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=dbe47cff-9b0a-4ba5-ac31-5af1ce986401 dbe47cff-9b0a-4ba5-ac31-5af1ce986401 Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 11:46:0 EST On June 5, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 3.8 percent, down from 4.6 percent on June 2. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/06/05/worried-about-tariff-passthrough-onto-prices-so-are-business-execs?item=6cde3fa3-6dac-4afa-83ec-9f612a5f6a07 6cde3fa3-6dac-4afa-83ec-9f612a5f6a07 Thursday, 5 Jun 2025 11:0:0 EST In the face of new tariffs, how would firms respond? A post looks at recent survey data to view how they would react to tariffs' impact on prices. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/regional-economics/beige-book/2025/06/04/beige-book-reports-slight-economic-growth-alongside-uncertainty?item=7954f93a-fb9e-44c1-bf29-6e77c5921aab 7954f93a-fb9e-44c1-bf29-6e77c5921aab Wednesday, 4 Jun 2025 14:4:0 EST Regional business contacts report slight growth, but they also express heightened levels of uncertainty, according to the new Beige Book report from the Atlanta Fed. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-market-distributions?item=77c32eaf-a133-4a74-bf5a-5c880ca7f370 77c32eaf-a133-4a74-bf5a-5c880ca7f370 Tuesday, 3 Jun 2025 12:7:0 EST Monitor labor market progress with our Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, now with April data on job openings, hires, layoffs, and quits (JOLTS). https://www.atlantafed.org/about/atlantafed/executive-leadership-committee/bostic-raphael/message-from-the-president/archive/2025/06/03/pervasive-uncertainty-calls-for-a-patient-policy-stance?item=fda6837d-db2e-4019-bf62-e60d12c7e2ad fda6837d-db2e-4019-bf62-e60d12c7e2ad Tuesday, 3 Jun 2025 10:0:0 EST In his latest essay, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic explains how tariffs could shape monetary policy. He also shares insights on the Fed's latest policy framework review. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=4ba301aa-60b3-4923-9b07-5b55ea9d7495 4ba301aa-60b3-4923-9b07-5b55ea9d7495 Monday, 2 Jun 2025 11:23:0 EST On June 2, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 4.6 percent, up from 3.8 percent on May 30. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/take-on-payments/2025/06/02/by-the-numbers-decline-in-consumers-use-of-paper-checks?item=8dc8d504-5957-4df2-828b-e842e02f545a 8dc8d504-5957-4df2-828b-e842e02f545a Monday, 2 Jun 2025 10:0:0 EST Data from the Survey and Diary of Consumer Payment Choice reports that more than 90 percent of consumers preferred other ways to pay over paper checks money orders ranked as even less popular. https://www.youtube.com/live/l7-NvntugTM?item=c9fc44ce-95af-4ae0-bccc-3554675d9324 c9fc44ce-95af-4ae0-bccc-3554675d9324 Friday, 30 May 2025 19:0:0 EST Atlanta Fed president and CEO Raphael Bostic delivers the opening remarks at the Council for Economic Education's National Economics Challenge in Atlanta. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/underlying-inflation-dashboard?item=28dc752e-04eb-4085-9c25-61c6d0cbcd16 28dc752e-04eb-4085-9c25-61c6d0cbcd16 Friday, 30 May 2025 14:38:0 EST We've updated our Underlying Inflation Dashboard with data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=5c5f7977-8ba8-4709-8924-659f94510d2e 5c5f7977-8ba8-4709-8924-659f94510d2e Friday, 30 May 2025 11:18:0 EST The data have been updated and incorporate recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis as well as updated Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=a7e292ca-e74a-4db4-b66e-8282fddb224a a7e292ca-e74a-4db4-b66e-8282fddb224a Friday, 30 May 2025 10:38:0 EST On May 30, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 3.8 percent, up from 2.2 percent on May 27. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=ec6552e8-e5ce-4357-b6a7-33ba9689b035 ec6552e8-e5ce-4357-b6a7-33ba9689b035 Tuesday, 27 May 2025 11:5:0 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=85a30114-5e5b-40c7-a953-42a74e9b689b 85a30114-5e5b-40c7-a953-42a74e9b689b Tuesday, 27 May 2025 9:57:0 EST On May 27, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.2 percent, down from 2.4 percent on May 16. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/calculator?item=554a1e78-88d0-4e11-a1f4-c222cff7a92a 554a1e78-88d0-4e11-a1f4-c222cff7a92a Wednesday, 21 May 2025 12:58:0 EST Our state-level Jobs Calculator has been updated with April data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/bie?item=798e600f-cb1d-4c18-89a4-ad15300b1e4a 798e600f-cb1d-4c18-89a4-ad15300b1e4a Wednesday, 21 May 2025 10:0:0 EST Firms' inflation expectations for the coming year decreased to 2.5 percent. Sales levels and profit margins compared to "normal times" remained relatively unchanged, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. https://youtube.com/live/GBQnH5GMHrQ?feature=share?item=f004c770-01e8-436d-a3a5-4b45dd1b9c8f f004c770-01e8-436d-a3a5-4b45dd1b9c8f Tuesday, 20 May 2025 19:0:0 EST Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed president and CEO; Mary C. Daly, San Francisco Fed president and CEO; and Beth M. Hammack, Cleveland Fed president and CEO, discuss their economic viewpoints at the Bank's annual Financial Markets Conference. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/feds-bostic-says-hes-leaning-toward-just-one-rate-cut-this-year.html?item=751def5f-43fe-4020-bfde-3425031fa180 751def5f-43fe-4020-bfde-3425031fa180 Monday, 19 May 2025 17:19:0 EST Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta president and CEO, joins CNBC's Steve Liesman from the annual Financial Markets Conference to discuss the state of the economy. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-05-19/fed-s-bostic-on-rate-policy-tariffs-framework-review-video?item=cf54618e-a300-4205-ab32-9f4172b6880c cf54618e-a300-4205-ab32-9f4172b6880c Monday, 19 May 2025 16:19:0 EST Raphael Bostic, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta president and CEO, joins Bloomberg TV's Michael McKee to discuss the state of the economy. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/take-on-payments/2025/05/19/more-us-consumers-use-cash-than-any-other-way-to-pay?item=5f4cdedd-5e94-47a4-a55f-b9536180193a 5f4cdedd-5e94-47a4-a55f-b9536180193a Monday, 19 May 2025 14:13:0 EST Traditions live on: Most consumers used cash to pay at least once over any other payment instrument only one third used a paper check. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/05/19/overcoming-constraints-how-banks-helped-us-firms-reroute-supply-chains?item=87c40112-75df-4213-88a5-23dfc614f526 87c40112-75df-4213-88a5-23dfc614f526 Monday, 19 May 2025 11:0:0 EST Rising trade tensions and the pandemic have forced importers to reconfigure their supply chains, a complex and costly process. A post highlights the underappreciated role of financial intermediaries in supporting supply chain resilience during global disruptions. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/publications/wp/2025/05/19/04-bank-financing-of-global-supply-chains?item=66ed0d20-ddb0-4210-81b5-fdccbec70ff2 66ed0d20-ddb0-4210-81b5-fdccbec70ff2 Monday, 19 May 2025 10:0:0 EST Laura Alfaro, Mariya Brussevich, Camelia Minoiu, and Andrea PresbiteroWorking Paper 2025-4May 2025Examining the role of banks in the reconfiguration of supply chains after the 2018–19 US-China tariffs, the authors show that importers of tariff-hit products were more likely to find new suppliers in other Asian countries if they had a relationship with an Asian-trade finance specialized bank. https://youtube.com/live/fLjZJKMxXXg?feature=share?item=c9c47e25-885b-4f0c-b8c4-4e8fd91ec860 c9c47e25-885b-4f0c-b8c4-4e8fd91ec860 Monday, 19 May 2025 8:30:0 EST Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed president and CEO, and Philip N. Jefferson, vice chair, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, discuss the future of monetary policy at the Bank's annual Financial Markets Conference. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=f3991cba-7f43-4d85-807d-2d246f8b65d2 f3991cba-7f43-4d85-807d-2d246f8b65d2 Friday, 16 May 2025 10:15:0 EST On May 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent, down from 2.5 percent on May 15. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=37b947ba-9544-4031-a2df-00a4022cde58 37b947ba-9544-4031-a2df-00a4022cde58 Thursday, 15 May 2025 12:38:0 EST On May 15, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.5 percent, up from 2.3 percent on May 8. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/05/15/uncertainty-over-trade-policy-will-cut-hiring-and-investment-say-business-execs?item=b72ff78f-e944-494f-b095-be678285a710 b72ff78f-e944-494f-b095-be678285a710 Thursday, 15 May 2025 10:0:0 EST Tariffs have been in the news prominently, with their impact a subject of great debate. But what might their effects be on hiring and investment? A post looks at recent data from the Survey of Business Uncertainty to find out. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/atlanta-feds-raphael-bostic-on-monetary-policy-during/id1056200096?i=1000708701913?item=e3b59e28-e88f-4c5d-861c-edbc2ed1feaa e3b59e28-e88f-4c5d-861c-edbc2ed1feaa Wednesday, 14 May 2025 16:19:0 EST Raphael Bostic, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, shares his thoughts on the Fed's dual mandate and monetary policy during extreme uncertainty on Bloomberg's Odd Lots podcast. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/05/14/challenges-in-forecasting-gdp-growth-last-quarter-and-this-quarter?item=cd2b3961-7ab9-43e5-b8d8-6c8f13e34aca cd2b3961-7ab9-43e5-b8d8-6c8f13e34aca Wednesday, 14 May 2025 10:0:0 EST Because the US economy includes a plethora of moving parts and shifting variables, accurately assessing economic growth poses inherent challenges. A post discusses some of the recent indicators that complicate efforts to produce a snapshot of economic activity. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/underlying-inflation-dashboard?item=d27fa6ec-23b1-4ed0-9b36-bb34b7f60e45 d27fa6ec-23b1-4ed0-9b36-bb34b7f60e45 Tuesday, 13 May 2025 13:23:0 EST We've updated our Underlying Inflation Dashboard with data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Federal Reserve bank of Atlanta, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=6568d405-d24b-4aae-8bab-d9e232fbd251 6568d405-d24b-4aae-8bab-d9e232fbd251 Tuesday, 13 May 2025 11:57:0 EST The data have been updated and incorporate recent releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics as well as updated Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject?item=6f6197fa-6df5-4eb9-8462-b71e93203039 6f6197fa-6df5-4eb9-8462-b71e93203039 Tuesday, 13 May 2025 10:59:0 EST The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with new data. Compare your personal consumer price index with the US average. https://www.atlantafed.org/community-development/publications/discussion-papers/2025/05/13/01-through-the-eye-of-the-storm-post-hurricane-migration-in-floridas-panhandle?item=6c5e6a4d-f45a-48e3-ad51-f3a5290f9f44 6c5e6a4d-f45a-48e3-ad51-f3a5290f9f44 Tuesday, 13 May 2025 10:19:0 EST Seumalu Elora Raymond, Dontá Council, and Pearse HaleyDiscussion Paper 2025-1 (May 2025)In a new discussion paper from the Atlanta Fed, analysts gauge the magnitude of displacement and migration following Hurricane Michael (2018) and examine how housing and financial factors guided displaced residents. Their findings reveal the challenges to successful relocation, particularly effects on neighborhood inequality. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/regional-economics/2025/05/09/after-recent-policy-making-meeting-atlanta-fed-president-discusses-fomc-decision?item=10632280-c7d1-481d-a417-090673218ca2 10632280-c7d1-481d-a417-090673218ca2 Friday, 9 May 2025 9:48:0 EST Heightened uncertainty about the path of the US economy led the Federal Open Market Committee to hold interest rates steady in its most recent meeting. In this article, Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic talks about factors that persuaded him to view a pause as the prudent decision. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=4c743606-cb45-462b-bf35-f924a7f3265c 4c743606-cb45-462b-bf35-f924a7f3265c Thursday, 8 May 2025 11:23:0 EST On May 8, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.3 percent, up from 2.2 percent on May 6. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250507a.htm?item=85584009-d9af-46b3-a932-4a2f4900713f 85584009-d9af-46b3-a932-4a2f4900713f Wednesday, 7 May 2025 14:15:0 EST The Federal Open Market Committee announced its decision to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/wage-growth-tracker?item=31a01830-4d6e-4c64-93d0-54f8fe88c252 31a01830-4d6e-4c64-93d0-54f8fe88c252 Wednesday, 7 May 2025 13:44:0 EST The Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker was 4.3 percent in April. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=58220aa7-9115-4a07-a30d-bab3476d5c15 58220aa7-9115-4a07-a30d-bab3476d5c15 Tuesday, 6 May 2025 12:46:0 EST On May 6, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.2 percent, up from 1.1 percent on May 1. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=c59edc38-ce18-4f45-85bb-ff8842676da1 c59edc38-ce18-4f45-85bb-ff8842676da1 Monday, 5 May 2025 9:30:0 EST On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released April's employment report. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. https://www.atlantafed.org/news/pressreleases/2025/05/02/atlanta-fed-announces-new-regional-executive-for-nashville?item=b4015db9-95ac-4d0e-95d3-446b8b0fa292 b4015db9-95ac-4d0e-95d3-446b8b0fa292 Friday, 2 May 2025 10:0:0 EST Emily Mitchell has been named assistant vice president and regional executive for the Nashville Branch of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=0f90a59b-78d7-428a-895e-78deedf57e5f 0f90a59b-78d7-428a-895e-78deedf57e5f Friday, 2 May 2025 9:0:0 EST What do April employment data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=ce3573dd-01cf-4036-afeb-3301ebfa1085 ce3573dd-01cf-4036-afeb-3301ebfa1085 Friday, 2 May 2025 8:45:0 EST Explore April and earlier data with the Labor Report First Look, updated May 2. First Look offers a snapshot of recent and historical employment data, updated with each release of the Employment Situation Summary, which next occurs on June 6. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=c8cfb8e9-456a-42c8-a283-510aae98c0bf c8cfb8e9-456a-42c8-a283-510aae98c0bf Thursday, 1 May 2025 11:45:0 EST On May 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 1.1 percent, down from 2.4 percent on April 30. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/underlying-inflation-dashboard?item=1f758c87-8afb-4411-b9a0-ba22dd2f65ad 1f758c87-8afb-4411-b9a0-ba22dd2f65ad Wednesday, 30 Apr 2025 14:46:0 EST We've updated our Underlying Inflation Dashboard with data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=b8989ce1-eab6-4ae4-96ea-3172d85657a5 b8989ce1-eab6-4ae4-96ea-3172d85657a5 Wednesday, 30 Apr 2025 12:26:0 EST The data have been extended through this quarter and incorporate recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis as well as updated Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=512efb74-8e7e-4cf6-9775-1f4741d6e37f 512efb74-8e7e-4cf6-9775-1f4741d6e37f Wednesday, 30 Apr 2025 12:2:0 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=e96a0ee8-84c5-4238-b50e-29d4b2bbef32 e96a0ee8-84c5-4238-b50e-29d4b2bbef32 Wednesday, 30 Apr 2025 11:58:0 EST On April 30, the initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2025 is 2.4 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-market-distributions?item=7d58fee0-fa9a-45d1-9521-8bc5a11f17a0 7d58fee0-fa9a-45d1-9521-8bc5a11f17a0 Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 11:11:0 EST Monitor labor market progress with our Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, now with March data on job openings, hires, layoffs, and quits (JOLTS). https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=45a9d3ea-3617-4445-b315-a88222e4db27 45a9d3ea-3617-4445-b315-a88222e4db27 Tuesday, 29 Apr 2025 10:26:0 EST On April 29, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.7 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -1.5 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.gpb.org/blogs/hullingers-musings/2025/04/24/birding-bostic?item=adc79567-ef33-4bfe-b4eb-07f3187c4223 adc79567-ef33-4bfe-b4eb-07f3187c4223 Thursday, 24 Apr 2025 16:19:0 EST Atlanta Fed president and CEO Raphael Bostic talks about his life, career, and passion for bird-watching with GPB reporter Jeff Hullinger. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=ff077590-6c1d-4e01-a2b4-53de0f306d83 ff077590-6c1d-4e01-a2b4-53de0f306d83 Thursday, 24 Apr 2025 11:40:0 EST On April 24, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.5 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.4 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/regional-economics/beige-book/2025/04/23/beige-book-southeast-economy-holds-steady?item=e89f7cbf-7974-4f49-a297-6c00111bbe0b e89f7cbf-7974-4f49-a297-6c00111bbe0b Wednesday, 23 Apr 2025 16:30:0 EST Regional business contacts report slight growth, but they also express heightened levels of uncertainty, according to the new Beige Book report from the Atlanta Fed. /-/media/documents/banking/business-continuity/2025/04/23/2025-hurricane-contingency-information.pdf?item=c0753f37-0349-4987-ad73-62635439b6cc c0753f37-0349-4987-ad73-62635439b6cc Wednesday, 23 Apr 2025 15:41:0 EST Federal Reserve cash and check services in Atlanta maintain a business continuity plan for business disruptions. The Atlanta Fed also has a comprehensive list that includes contingency contacts and general contingency information to help banks work with the Fed in the event of a weather-related crisis. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/04/23/the-switch-changing-conditions-behind-new-gdpnow-model?item=42703cdc-15a2-4cd0-b014-8f37a8b65d00 42703cdc-15a2-4cd0-b014-8f37a8b65d00 Wednesday, 23 Apr 2025 10:0:0 EST The recent surge in gold imports created dramatic disparities between various GDP forecasts and prompted changes to the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow nowcasting model. In this post, economist Patrick Higgins looks more closely at the conditions behind the switch to a gold-adjusted model. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/bie?item=07ffb9b5-3104-42ef-88db-3cde19a6db64 07ffb9b5-3104-42ef-88db-3cde19a6db64 Wednesday, 23 Apr 2025 10:0:0 EST Firms' inflation expectations for the coming year increased to 2.8 percent. Sales levels and profit margins compared to "normal times" decreased, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/04/21/impact-on-labor-market-of-potential-reductions-in-federal-employment?item=ca79fd40-9804-4ede-b28d-af3620ebb1e9 ca79fd40-9804-4ede-b28d-af3620ebb1e9 Monday, 21 Apr 2025 11:0:0 EST The federal government is the largest employer in the United States. How might cutbacks affect the overall labor force? A Policy Hub: Macroblog post looks at data to understand the potential impact on employment. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/calculator?item=25224c75-ab6a-41e1-95bf-c0658e088980 25224c75-ab6a-41e1-95bf-c0658e088980 Friday, 18 Apr 2025 11:56:0 EST Our state-level Jobs Calculator has been updated with March data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=7a9befde-c2e9-43d5-9eee-0904e1916ee5 7a9befde-c2e9-43d5-9eee-0904e1916ee5 Thursday, 17 Apr 2025 9:55:0 EST On April 17, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.2 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.1 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=3424935c-dbb5-4fde-a3cc-266c35d057d1 3424935c-dbb5-4fde-a3cc-266c35d057d1 Wednesday, 16 Apr 2025 11:14:0 EST On April 16, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.2 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.1 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/banking-and-finance/2025/04/16/southeastern-banks-loan-growth-remains-resilient?item=c7baff91-9856-4581-90ea-b62fa59a27b3 c7baff91-9856-4581-90ea-b62fa59a27b3 Wednesday, 16 Apr 2025 10:18:0 EST Although loan growth among southeastern banks has moderated recently, it nevertheless remains stronger than trends seen nationally. This Economy Matters article looks at banks' recent call report data to observe loan growth's performance. https://www.youtube.com/live/n2p1AgRQXqY?item=a92be5f7-deb0-4d25-b031-2ce0e4643fe4 a92be5f7-deb0-4d25-b031-2ce0e4643fe4 Monday, 14 Apr 2025 14:34:0 EST Raphael Bostic, president and CEO of the Atlanta Fed, shares his economic outlook at Emory University's 2025 Economics Department Awards Banquet. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/publications/wp/2025/04/14/03-screen-more-sell-later-screening-and-dynamic-signaling-in-mortgage-market?item=9b8280c1-c58c-4ccd-9178-337da06142bc 9b8280c1-c58c-4ccd-9178-337da06142bc Monday, 14 Apr 2025 10:0:0 EST Manuel Adelino, Bin Wei, and Feng ZhaoWorking Paper 2025-3April 2025Exploring the relationship between screening effort and signaling in the mortgage market, the authors produce research suggesting that a higher screening effort corresponds with more signaling in the market, particularly through delayed sales. https://www.atlantafed.org/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=6494ad37-b361-46da-a98e-bb64107970eb 6494ad37-b361-46da-a98e-bb64107970eb Friday, 11 Apr 2025 11:46:0 EST On Thursday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released March's consumer price index. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. https://www.marketplace.org/story/2025/04/10/atlanta-feds-bostic-counsels-monetary-policy-caution?item=f783edae-1153-4cf5-a91c-8a7b796d71ab f783edae-1153-4cf5-a91c-8a7b796d71ab Thursday, 10 Apr 2025 16:19:0 EST Raphael Bostic, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, joins Marketplace host and editor Kai Ryssdal to discuss his economic outlook. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=13e1121c-2605-46bc-adac-90f04ca8b341 13e1121c-2605-46bc-adac-90f04ca8b341 Thursday, 10 Apr 2025 12:33:0 EST The data have been updated and incorporate recent releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics as well as updated Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/underlying-inflation-dashboard?item=793b17d4-5ff5-4570-8768-3ba49a314f8c 793b17d4-5ff5-4570-8768-3ba49a314f8c Thursday, 10 Apr 2025 11:53:0 EST We've updated our Underlying Inflation Dashboard with data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject?item=b7c37fd0-86ce-4a86-a4e7-d47f53bbee61 b7c37fd0-86ce-4a86-a4e7-d47f53bbee61 Thursday, 10 Apr 2025 9:48:0 EST The Atlanta Fed's myCPI tool has been updated with new data. Compare your personal consumer price index with the US average. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/wage-growth-tracker?item=94ed01d0-0417-4819-b2ca-67231298db30 94ed01d0-0417-4819-b2ca-67231298db30 Wednesday, 9 Apr 2025 14:46:0 EST The Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker was 4.3 percent in March. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=0dade7e7-1589-4145-9ce9-873fa72154bf 0dade7e7-1589-4145-9ce9-873fa72154bf Wednesday, 9 Apr 2025 11:25:0 EST On April 9, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.4 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.3 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/cenfis/market-probability-tracker?item=f95f1e6e-7ce1-43d3-9ccb-10a4db1d441c f95f1e6e-7ce1-43d3-9ccb-10a4db1d441c Monday, 7 Apr 2025 12:6:0 EST On Friday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released March's employment report. Find out how this affected the market's assessment of future rate moves at the Market Probability Tracker. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/human-capital-data-and-tools?item=596a808a-e630-4427-b306-d998d52e0ae3 596a808a-e630-4427-b306-d998d52e0ae3 Friday, 4 Apr 2025 9:0:0 EST What do March employment data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics mean for the outlook for labor markets? Check out the Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, Labor Market Sliders, and Jobs Calculator to find out. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-report-first-look?item=a48c4d9d-1693-4a93-aa1c-ebcf4df0f5ee a48c4d9d-1693-4a93-aa1c-ebcf4df0f5ee Friday, 4 Apr 2025 8:45:0 EST Explore March and earlier data with the Labor Report First Look, updated April 4. First Look offers a snapshot of recent and historical employment data, updated with each release of the Employment Situation Summary, which next occurs on May 2. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=470d5cf6-d64f-4da3-a833-5a860cdd4b56 470d5cf6-d64f-4da3-a833-5a860cdd4b56 Thursday, 3 Apr 2025 12:36:0 EST On April 3, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.8 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.8 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/labor-market-distributions?item=8d84627f-d20c-4a46-a44f-44bc09d62ffc 8d84627f-d20c-4a46-a44f-44bc09d62ffc Tuesday, 1 Apr 2025 13:6:0 EST Monitor labor market progress with our Labor Market Distributions Spider Chart, now with February data on job openings, hires, layoffs, and quits (JOLTS). https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=6fbd85c2-b435-465a-bec8-de0d0956a04c 6fbd85c2-b435-465a-bec8-de0d0956a04c Tuesday, 1 Apr 2025 11:37:0 EST On April 1, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -3.7 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -1.4 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/macroblog/2025/04/01/how-are-tariffs-affecting-firms?item=c7b0418f-b3f0-4eb3-b337-0492a1363c47 c7b0418f-b3f0-4eb3-b337-0492a1363c47 Tuesday, 1 Apr 2025 11:0:0 EST How might the implementation of tariffs on certain countries affect the outlook of firms that source from those countries? To learn the answer to this question, a Policy Hub: Macroblog post looks at recent survey data to understand firm sentiment. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DO1k16o7Fjw?item=1316fadc-7e87-41e5-98d5-b03e29e0f6b2 1316fadc-7e87-41e5-98d5-b03e29e0f6b2 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 16:19:0 EST Raphael Bostic, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, joins CNN anchor Erin Burnett to talk about his economic outlook. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/calculator?item=3a8b5cad-2d18-4bfa-9c41-a16305214181 3a8b5cad-2d18-4bfa-9c41-a16305214181 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 14:51:0 EST Our state-level Jobs Calculator has been updated with February data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/underlying-inflation-dashboard?item=5ebaac03-ddfa-465c-a888-9c2af3ae5662 5ebaac03-ddfa-465c-a888-9c2af3ae5662 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 14:28:0 EST We've updated our Underlying Inflation Dashboard with data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/taylor-rule?item=d2d7318a-17d6-4c19-b3c5-b73574fa7e91 d2d7318a-17d6-4c19-b3c5-b73574fa7e91 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 11:1:0 EST The data have been updated and incorporate recent releases from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis as well as updated Cleveland and Atlanta Fed model nowcasts. https://youtube.com/live/2Y56l_dgZ6Y?feature=share?item=d27f011f-0fa8-4251-85cf-3a3176bf84c2 d27f011f-0fa8-4251-85cf-3a3176bf84c2 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 10:41:0 EST Raphael Bostic, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, moderates the closing panel discussion with Edward "Ed" DeMarco, president of the Housing Policy Council; W. Scott Frame, senior vice president and deputy head of research at the Bank Policy Institute; and Janneke Ratcliffe, vice president of the Housing and Communities Division at the Urban Institute. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=767d6a2a-6e38-48d6-862c-65ea9c3adf24 767d6a2a-6e38-48d6-862c-65ea9c3adf24 Friday, 28 Mar 2025 10:18:0 EST On March 28, the standard GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -2.8 percent. The alternative model growth estimate is -0.5 percent. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/podcasts/transcripts/economy-matters/250327-were-helping-set-them-up-for-success-as-adults-the-fed-and-economic-education?item=6cf53651-ee24-441d-8252-66ee77181529 6cf53651-ee24-441d-8252-66ee77181529 Thursday, 27 Mar 2025 6:0:0 EST 3/27/2025 - In a rapidly evolving economy, being financially literate arguably matters more than ever. April is Financial Literacy Month, and two Atlanta Fed economic education experts discuss their work reaching students and teachers. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=9e623eb8-7c9a-40d8-b3fa-f7587c94d82f 9e623eb8-7c9a-40d8-b3fa-f7587c94d82f Wednesday, 26 Mar 2025 11:59:0 EST On March 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -1.8 percent, unchanged from March 18 after rounding. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/surveys/business-uncertainty?item=68d17370-1c10-44fb-8cc1-3ba9582ed7a8 68d17370-1c10-44fb-8cc1-3ba9582ed7a8 Wednesday, 26 Mar 2025 9:12:0 EST Are changes in economic conditions affecting the outlook of businesses in your community? Find out what a national sample of firms thinks about the future with our Survey of Business Uncertainty. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/inside-the-fed/2025/03/25/atlanta-fed-president-discusses-recent-fomc-decision-economic-outlook?item=8b25ba46-07ed-4e3c-ad21-06ba61bed02b 8b25ba46-07ed-4e3c-ad21-06ba61bed02b Tuesday, 25 Mar 2025 10:32:0 EST Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic recently spoke with the media to discuss monetary policy and his thinking about recent economic conditions. This article summarizes that conversation and the policy decision that immediately preceded it. https://www.atlantafed.org/news/pressreleases/2025/03/25/six-members-announced-for-atlanta-feds-community-depository-institutions-advisory-council?item=0571856b-7489-4e2a-9bdf-957b81411367 0571856b-7489-4e2a-9bdf-957b81411367 Tuesday, 25 Mar 2025 10:0:0 EST Angie Barger, Aaron Dorn, Susan Moss, Joe Newberry, Brian North, and Suzanne Weinstein were selected as new members of the Atlanta Fed's Community Depository Institutions Advisory Council. They will serve three-year terms that expire in 2027. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-03-24/fed-s-bostic-on-inflation-rate-cuts-and-tariffs-video?item=03d157c6-e459-4f27-bef7-ec9f7d04628f 03d157c6-e459-4f27-bef7-ec9f7d04628f Monday, 24 Mar 2025 16:19:0 EST Atlanta Fed president and CEO Raphael Bostic discusses the state of the economy, potential interest rate cuts, and tariff impacts on inflation with Bloomberg reporter Michael McKee. https://www.atlantafed.org/news/pressreleases/2025/03/24/atlanta-fed-announces-oeb-senior-vice-president-and-chief-investment-officer?item=49c53c8a-9681-4198-91ac-c3937f77f4e8 49c53c8a-9681-4198-91ac-c3937f77f4e8 Monday, 24 Mar 2025 12:48:0 EST Clint Cary has been named senior vice president and chief investment officer for the Office of Employee Benefits, effective March 4. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/publications/wp/2025/03/24/02-economic-diversity-and-resilience-of-cities?item=be8e5aaf-6cc5-48fb-8506-a0ba729d91fc be8e5aaf-6cc5-48fb-8506-a0ba729d91fc Monday, 24 Mar 2025 10:0:0 EST François de Soyres, Simon Fuchs, Illenin O. Kondo, and Helene MaghinWorking Paper 2025-2March 2025Are cities with a broader mix of sectors and occupations more resilient? Analysis of data across occupations, industries, and cities in France reveals that local economic diversity provides workers with valuable insurance. The authors propose a framework to quantify this "insurance value" of economic diversity. https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/annual-report/2024?item=dd382905-ee1c-4a96-8321-1b824690bb71 dd382905-ee1c-4a96-8321-1b824690bb71 Friday, 21 Mar 2025 14:48:0 EST The Atlanta Fed's 2024 Annual Report includes information on our leadership structure, financials, compliance, and commitment to transparency. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20250319a.htm?item=89b5960e-67fd-4ee6-957b-d5e913dad04a 89b5960e-67fd-4ee6-957b-d5e913dad04a Wednesday, 19 Mar 2025 14:10:0 EST The Federal Open Market Committee announced its decision to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. https://www.atlantafed.org/news/pressreleases/2025/03/19/new-director-atlanta-fed-birmingham-branch?item=ff1a156a-7210-4fe1-b80a-a72405cbaba3 ff1a156a-7210-4fe1-b80a-a72405cbaba3 Wednesday, 19 Mar 2025 11:21:0 EST The Birmingham Branch of the Atlanta Fed announced the appointment of Davis Ozier to its board of directors. https://www.atlantafed.org/research/inflationproject/bie?item=52cf5b2e-fce9-44fb-9c03-7a129accb186 52cf5b2e-fce9-44fb-9c03-7a129accb186 Wednesday, 19 Mar 2025 10:0:0 EST Firms' inflation expectations for the coming year increased to 2.5 percent. Sales levels compared to "normal times" increased, according to the Atlanta Fed's latest Business Inflation Expectations survey. https://www.atlantafed.org/blogs/take-on-payments/2025/03/18/data-from-federal-reserve-payments-study-shows-pace-of-payments-accelerating?item=0043b4a2-866f-49e4-bfdb-a628eaf29746 0043b4a2-866f-49e4-bfdb-a628eaf29746 Tuesday, 18 Mar 2025 12:15:0 EST Recent growth rates reported in the Federal Reserve Payments Study (FRPS) for automated clearing house (ACH) transactions and person-to-person (P2P) payments via depository institution websites show speedy payments out-pacing slower transaction methods. Same-day ACH debit transfers grew 39 percent and credit transfers grew by 21 percent per year by value from 2018 to 2021. Compared that to non-same-day ACH transactions where growth in value was reported in single digits. https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow?item=f1901d44-8d7a-4ac4-809f-b86ad39314f8 f1901d44-8d7a-4ac4-809f-b86ad39314f8 Tuesday, 18 Mar 2025 10:27:0 EST On March 18, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 is -1.8 percent, up from -2.1 percent on March 17. View GDPNow for more details. https://www.atlantafed.org/chcs/calculator?item=27d4f33c-c33c-444e-a042-2239aab19ef7 27d4f33c-c33c-444e-a042-2239aab19ef7 Monday, 17 Mar 2025 16:56:0 EST Our state-level Jobs Calculator has been updated with January data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.