Brent Meyer
Vice President and Senior Economist
About
Brent Meyer is a vice president and senior economist in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. He leads and sets the strategic direction for the Economic Survey Research Center, provides leadership for the monetary policy advising process, and serves as a member of the Research Division's leadership team.
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Biography
Brent Meyer is a vice president and senior economist in the research department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. He leads and sets the strategic direction for the Economic Survey Research Center, provides leadership for the monetary policy advising process, and serves as a member of the Research Division's leadership team. His primary research interests include firm behavior, survey methods, inflation, inflation expectations, macroeconomics, and monetary policy. In addition to providing monetary policy support, Meyer heads up our Economic Survey Research Center (ESRC), is involved in research using our Business Inflation Expectations (BIE), Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU), and CFO surveys, contributes to the Atlanta Fed's Inflation Project, and to the Atlanta Fed's macroblog, which provides commentary on economic topics, including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, and the Southeast economy.
Meyer joined the Bank in 2013 after spending nearly seven years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. There, he served as an economist focusing on, among other things, monetary policy, inflation measurement, and inflation expectations. He started his Fed career as a research assistant. In that role, he contributed to research on macroeconomic trends and the banking and financial sector. Meyer was promoted to economic analyst in 2007, senior economic analyst in 2010, and economist in 2012. Prior to joining the Cleveland Fed, he was a research and teaching assistant at Bowling Green State University.
Meyer earned a bachelor's degree in economics from Hillsdale College in Hillsdale, Michigan, and a master's degree in economics from Bowling Green State University.
Published Work
Federal Reserve work covering the latest six years.
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Federal Reserve work older than six years.
Publications
2019
David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Surveying Business Uncertainty." Working Paper 2019-13c. June 2019 (Revised July 2019; February and August 2020).
David Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, and Nick Parker. "New Evidence Points to Mounting Trade Policy Effects on U.S. Business Activity," macroblog. November 1, 2019.
David Altig, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nick Parker. "Tariff Worries and U.S. Business Investment, Take Two," macroblog. February 25, 2019.
2018
David Altig, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, and Nick Parker. "Are Tariff Worries Cutting into Business Investment?" macroblog. August 7, 2018.
Dave Altig, Nick Parker, Brent Meyer, Steve Davis, Nick Bloom, and José Barrero. "What Are Businesses Saying about Tax Reform Now?," macroblog. March 23, 2018.
Dave Altig, Brent Meyer, and Nick Parker. "What Businesses Said about Tax Reform," macroblog. January 17, 2018.
2017
Dave Altig, Nicholas Parker, and Brent Meyer. "The Fed's Inflation Goal: What Does the Public Know?." macroblog. April 19, 2017.
2016
Brent Meyer and Saeed Zaman. "The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy." Working Paper 2016-13. November 2016.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Lockhart Casts a Line into the Murky Waters of Uncertainty." macroblog, July 18, 2016.
2015
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "What Do U.S. Businesses Know that New Zealand Businesses Don't? A Lot (Apparently).." macroblog. September 21, 2015.
Brent Meyer. "Getting to the Core of Goods and Services Prices." macroblog. July 17, 2015.
Brent Meyer. "Different Strokes for Different Folks." macroblog. July 16, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Approaching the Promised Land? Yes and No.." macroblog. June 23, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "myCPI: Getting More Personal with Inflation." macroblog. May 27, 2015.
Brent Meyer. "Déjà Vu All Over Again." macroblog. April 17, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Are Oil Prices "Passing Through"?." macroblog. February 23, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Business as Usual?." macroblog. February 20, 2015.
Brent Meyer and Murat Tasci. "Lessons for Forecasting Unemployment in the United States: Use Flow Rates, Mind the Trend." Working Paper 2015-1. February 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 3: Do Firms Know What They Don't Know?." macroblog. January 9, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 2: The Question You Ask Matters—A Lot." macroblog. January 7, 2015.
Michael F. Bryan, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Gauging Inflation Expectations with Surveys, Part 1: The Perspective of Firms." macroblog. January 5, 2015.
2014
Michael F. Bryan, Brent H. Meyer, and Nicholas B. Parker. "The Inflation Expectations of Firms: What Do They Look Like, Are They Accurate, and Do They Matter?." Working Paper 2014-27a. (Revised) January 2015.
Brent Meyer and Guhan Venkatu. "Trimmed-Mean Inflation Statistics: Just Hit the One in the Middle." Working Paper 2014-3. (Revised) March 2014.
2013
Michael F. Bryan, Patrick Higgins, Brent Meyer, and Nicholas Parker. "Weighing In on the Recent Discrepancy in the Inflation Statistics." macroblog. May 9, 2013.
Brent Meyer, Guhan Venkatu and Saeed Zaman. "Forecasting Inflation? Target the Middle"", Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, April 11, 2013.
Brent Meyer and Saeed Zaman. "It's Not Just for Inflation: The Usefulness of the Median CPI in BVAR Forecasting." Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper 2013-3. February 2013.
2012
Brent Meyer and Murat Tasci. "An Unstable Okun's Law, Not the Best Rule of Thumb" Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, June 7, 2012.
Brent Meyer and Guhan Venkatu. "Trimmed-Mean Inflation Statistics: Just Hit the One in the Middle." >Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper 2012-17. September 2012.
Brent Meyer. "Do Rising Rents Complicate Inflation Assessment?", Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, February 23, 2012.
2011
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Should we even read the monthly inflation report? Maybe not. Then again...." macroblog. June 1, 2011.
Brent Meyer and Guhan Venkatu. "Demographic Differences in Inflation Expectations: What Do They Really Mean?", Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, May 17, 2011.
2010
Brent Meyer and Mark E. Schweitzer. "Is an explicit inflation objective consistent with a dual mandate?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2010 Annual Report, December 31, 2010.
Brent Meyer and Mehmet Pasaogullari. "How can inflation be considered low when food and gas prices are so high?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 2010 Annual Report, December 31, 2010.
Brent Meyer and Mehment Pasaogullari. "Simple Ways to Forecast Inflation: What Works Best?," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, December 6, 2010.
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Are Some Prices in the CPI More Forward Looking than Others? We Think So," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, May 19, 2010.
David Altig and Brent Meyer. "The money-inflation connection: It's baaaack!." macroblog. July 28, 2010.
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Sticky-price CPI up slightly in April...Wait, what?" macroblog. May 28, 2010.
2009
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "The September CPI with all the trimmings." macroblog. October 16, 2009.
Michael F. Bryan and Brent Meyer. "Yet another cut at the recent retail price data." macroblog. March 3, 2009.
2007
Joseph G. Haubrich and Brent Meyer. "Peak Oil," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economic Commentary, August 15, 2007.
Interviews
2019
Brent Meyer. "What Are Businesses Reacting To? A Conversation about Uncertainty." Economy Matters. August 2019.
2015
Brent Meyer. "Getting Personal with Inflation and the Cost of Living ." ECONversations. September 2015.
External work by Atlanta Fed staff.
Articles
2025
"Unit Cost Expectations and Uncertainty: Firms' Perspectives on Inflation" with Xuguang Simon Sheng. European Economic Review (May 2025), 174, 104955.
"Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings" with Michael Weber, Bernardo Candia, Tiziano Ropele, Rodrigo Lluberas, Serafin Frache, Saten Kumar, Yuriy Brent Hedlund Meyer Gorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny, and Jorge Ponce. Econometrica, Vol. 93, No.1 (January 2025), 229–264.
2023
"The Impact of Supply Chain Disruptions on Business Expectations During the Pandemic" with Brian C. Prescott and Xuguang Simon Sheng. Energy Economics (October 2023), 126, 106951.
2022
"Surveying Business Uncertainty" (November 2022) with David Altig, Jose Barrero, Nick Bloom, Steve Davis, and Nick Parker, Journal of Econometrics, 231(1):281–303.
"The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Business Expectations" (with B. Prescott and X.S. Sheng). (2022). International Journal of Forecasting, 38(2):529–544.
"Pandemic-era Uncertainty" with Emil Mihaylov, Jose Maria Barrero, Steven J Davis, David Altig, and Nicholas Bloom. Journal of Risk and Financial Management (2022), 15(8), 338.
2021
"The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business expectations" (2021) with B. Prescott and X.S. Sheng, International Journal of Forecasting.
2020
"Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic" (August 2020), with David Altig, Scott Baker, Jose Barrero, Nick Bloom, Phil Bunn, Scarlet Chen, Steven J. Davis, Emil Mihaylov, Paul Mizen, Nick Parker, Thomas Renault, Pawel Smietanka, and Greg Thwaites, Journal of Public Economics, 191:104274.
2019
"The Usefulness of the Median CPI in BVARs used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy" (2019) with Saeed Zaman, Empirical Economics, 57(2):603–630.