Over at Angry Bear, Kash gets the jump on today's Consumer Price Index report for February.
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.6 percent in February, before seasonal adjustment, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today.
...On a seasonally adjusted basis, the CPI-U advanced 0.4 percent in February, following a 0.1 percent increase in January. The energy index,which registered substantial declines in the preceding two months, increased 2.0 percent in February, accounting for virtually all the acceleration in the overall CPI-U... The index for all items less food and energy, which increased 0.2 percent in each of the preceding four months, advanced 0.3 percent in February.
Here's a summary table from the Cleveland Fed website:
Percent Change From Previous Month | ||||||
Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan. | Feb. | |
CPI | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
CPI less food & energy | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
MEDIAN CPI | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Percent Change, Last 12 Months | ||||||
Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan. | Feb. | |
CPI | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
CPI less food & energy | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
MEDIAN CPI* | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
The bottom line here is that our alternative measure of core inflation -- the median CPI -- has been giving a consistent read on the inflation trend for some time now. Things aren't deteriorating substantially, but neither are they improving.