2024 Financial Markets Conference

Location:
Omni Amelia Island Resort
39 Beach Lagoon Road
Fernandina Beach, FL 32034

Agenda

Sunday, May 19
6:00 p.m. Opening reception and dinner
Monday, May 20
8:00 a.m. Breakfast
8:45 Welcome   YouTube YouTube session link
Raphael Bostic, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
9:00 Keynote   YouTube YouTube session link
Michael S. Barr, Vice Chair for Supervision, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Moderator: Paula Tkac, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
9:45 Policy Session 1: Domestic Liquidity Provision during Potential Crises   YouTube YouTube session link
The Federal Reserve is the ultimate lender of last resort to the US financial system. Prior to the global financial crisis (GFC), the Fed provided liquidity to banks but relied on banks to channel that liquidity to nonbank sectors. During the GFC, the banking and overall financial system faced liquidity and solvency problems, forcing the Fed to take the lead role. The COVID-19 pandemic induced global dash-for-cash and the deposit run of spring 2023 saw further expansions of the Fed's liquidity provision role. In the wake of these developments, regulators have sought to strengthen banks' capital and liquidity. However, this comes at the cost of shifting more liquidity risk outside the banking sector and limiting banks' ability to assist the Fed. Among the topics to be addressed by this panel are the appropriateness of the Fed's direct provision of liquidity to stressed sectors, the circumstances under which this is permitted, and the role regulation can play in reducing liquidity risk.
Moderator: Steven Kelly, Associate Director of Research, Yale Program on Financial Stability
Panelist: Luc Laeven, Director-General of Directorate General Research, European Central Bank
Panelist: Susan McLaughlin, Executive Fellow, Yale Program on Financial Stability
Panelist: Bill Nelson, Executive Vice President and Chief Economist, Bank Policy Institute
11:15 Break
11:30 Research Session 1: Global Supply Chains: The Looming "Great Reallocation" icon denoting link is offsite    YouTube YouTube session link
Presenter: Laura Alfaro, Warren Alpert Professor of Business Administration, Harvard Business School
Discussant: Julian di Giovanni, Department Head, Climate Risk Studies, Research and Statistics Group, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Moderator: Camelia Minoiu, Research Economist and Adviser, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
12:30 p.m. Box lunch and afternoon on your own
6:00 Reception
7:00 Dinner and keynote   YouTube YouTube session link
Ed Glaeser, Fred and Eleanor Glimp Professor of Economics, and Chairman, Department of Economics, Harvard University
Moderator: Raphael Bostic, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Tuesday, May 21
8:00 a.m. Breakfast
9:10 Welcome back   YouTube YouTube session link
Raphael Bostic, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
9:15 Policy Session 2: Evolving Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms   YouTube YouTube session link
Federal Reserve monetary policy works through financial markets that have evolved in recent decades in response to changes in government policy and technology. Expansion of the Fed's balance sheet and an increase in banks' capital and liquidity requirements are among the policy changes since the global financial crisis that could change the transmission mechanism. This session will consider these and other changes that may have affected the transmission mechanism.
Moderator: Frederic Mishkin, Alfred Lerner Professor of Banking and Financial Institutions, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University
Panelist: John Y. Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University
Panelist: Lucrezia Reichlin, Professor of Economics, London Business School
Panelist: David Zervos, Chief Market Strategist, Jefferies LLC
10:45 Break
11:00 Research Session 2: Monetary Policy, Inflation, and Crises: Evidence from History and Administrative Data icon denoting link is offsite  YouTube YouTube session link
Presenter: José-Luis Peydró, Professor of Finance, Imperial College Business School
Discussant: Marc Giannoni, Managing Director and Chief US Economist, Barclays
Moderator: Larry Wall, Economist Emeritus, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Noon Luncheon buffet
1:30 Policy Session 3: The US Dollar in the International Financial System   YouTube YouTube session link
As the world's reserve currency, the US dollar plays an important role in both the US and international financial systems. In recognition of the US dollar's global importance the Federal Reserve has long acted to support the workings of the international market for US dollars. This support reached a new level with the central bank liquidity swap lines during the global financial crisis and pandemic dash-for-cash. This session will discuss the history of how the US dollar arrived at its role in global markets, the costs and benefits associated with this role, and the extent to which the Federal Reserve is (or should be) the international lender of last resort. It will also touch upon the implications of recent geopolitical developments for the international role of the US dollar.
Moderator: David Wessel, Senior Fellow in Economic Studies and Director, Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Brookings Institution
Panelist: Antoine Martin, Member of the Governing Board, Swiss National Bank
Panelist: Robert McCauley, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Global Economic Governance Initiative, Boston University, and Associate, Faculty of History, University of Oxford | The Offshore Dollar and US Policy
Panelist: Fabio Natalucci, Deputy Director, Monetary and Capital Markets, International Monetary Fund
3:00 Break
3:30 Policy Session 4: Government Absorption of Financial Risks during Crisis   YouTube YouTube session link
The United States has long used government guarantees and bailouts to counter threats to financial instability, but there was a quantum increase in the size and scope of those guarantees during the global financial crisis and at the start of the pandemic. Although these recent guarantees and bailouts have been presented as "costless" or even "moneymaking" for taxpayers, these calculations ignore the risks shifted to taxpayers. This session will discuss the actual contemporaneous economic costs of guarantees and bailouts. It will also consider the extent of current guarantees and their costs and benefits. Finally, the session will consider what, if anything, may be done to scale back guarantees.
Moderator: Ron Feldman, First Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Panelist: Deborah Lucas, Sloan Distinguished Professor of Finance, MIT Sloan School of Management, and Director, MIT Golub Center for Finance and Policy | How Much Do Guarantees and Bailouts Cost the Government?
Panelist: Phil Strahan, Finance Professor, Boston College
Panelist: Kevin Warsh, Shepard Family Distinguished Visiting Fellow in Economics, Hoover Institution, and Lecturer, Stanford Graduate School of Business
5:00 Closing remarks
Paula Tkac, Executive Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
6:00 Reception
7:00 Dinner and keynote   YouTube YouTube session link
Susan M. Collins, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Loretta J. Mester, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Moderator: Raphael Bostic, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Wednesday, May 22
8:00 a.m. Breakfast and adjournment